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Michigan

Polls

Democratic primary exit poll
Republican primary exit poll

Michigan: Religious demographics chart

Republican Primary Results

Race
Candidate
Votes
Vote %
Del*
Michigan
 
 
 

 
337,847
39%
24
257,521
30%
5
139,699
16%
1
54,434
6%
0
32,135
4%
0
24,706
3%
0
Uncommitted
18,106
2%
0
2,823
0%
0

Democratic Primary Results

Race
 
Candidate
Votes
Vote %
Del*
Michigan
 
 
 

 
 
328,151
55%
0
 
Uncommitted
237,762
40%
0
 
21,708
4%
0
 
3,853
1%
0
 
2,363
0%

* Democratic delegates not counted.

Commentary

Democrat
Not only did the “premature” Democratic primary not include Obama or Edwards but there were no religion questions on the exit poll.

Republican
On the attendance scale, Huckabee came out on top with 37 percent of the More-than-weeklies, with Romney picking up all other categories (with numbers around 40 percent) and McCain winning the Nevers at 39 percent. Romney beat out Huckabee among the evangelicals 34 percent to 29 percent, and McCain among the non-evangelicals 39 percent to 34 percent. Protestants (including Other Christians) and Catholics preferred Romney equally, at 38 percent. The Nones, at just five percent of the GOP vote, went for McCain with 37 percent.

 

01 13 08    Catholic anti-Huck    Mark Silk
And speaking of guilt by association, here's an email obtained by the Atlantic's Marc Ambinder, apparently circulating among Michigan Republicans, tarring Huckabee with being anti-Catholic.

01 16 08    Anti-Mormon?    Mark Silk
The take-away from Michigan so far as religion is concerned is that more born-again white Protestants--as good a screen for evangelicals as you could want--voted for Romney than for Huckabee, according to the exit poll. How does this square with the finding in the recent ABC/Washington Post national poll that Romney's Mormonism really really dampens evangelicals' enthusiasm for voting for him. (Specifically, the differential among those evangelicals more and less enthusiastic by the prospect of the first Mormon president was minus 39 points.) The point is that just because some characteristic of a candidate makes you less enthusiastic doesn't mean you won't vote for him. Take McCain's age; maybe in China it would have enhanced enthusiasm levels, but not in the U.S. In any event, Romney's ability to more than hold his own among evangelicals, at least in a state where he's sort of known and that's suffering economically, should be of some comfort to him. Meanwhile, Huck's inability to break out of the box of super-frequent churchgoing born-agains in Northern places like NH and Michigan must be giving his folks serious heartburn.

   

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